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Draw a utility function over income u(I) that describes a man who is a risk lover when his income is low but risk-averse when his income is high. Can you explain why such a utility function might reasonably describe a person’s preferences?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The utility function is shown below:

The utility function will be S-shaped.

Such a utility function describes people’s preferences because an individual's risk preferences change with a change in the stock of resources.

Step by step solution

01

Explanation

Suppose an individual needs an I* to sustain. The diagram below shows that after level I*, the individual will experience diminishing marginal utility. Below the income level I*, the individual will be a risk lover. The return will also be high; thus, the individual may take unfavorable gambles to increase the income. Above the income level I*, the individual will be risk averter as the required level of income to sustain life is covered; thus,the individual will take up insurance to cover the losses.

The utility function is shown below:

The utility function will be S-shaped.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider a lottery with three possible outcomes:

• \(125 will be received with probability .2

• \)100 will be received with probability .3

• $50 will be received with probability .5

a. What is the expected value of the lottery?

b. What is the variance of the outcomes?

c. What would a risk-neutral person pay to play the lottery?

As the owner of a family farm whose wealth is \(250,000, you must choose between sitting this season out and investing last year’s earnings (\)200,000) in a safe money market fund paying 5.0 percent or planting summer corn. Planting costs \(200,000, with a six-month time to harvest. If there is rain, planting summer corn will yield \)500,000 in revenues at harvest. If there is a drought, planting will yield \(50,000 in revenues. As a third choice, you can purchase AgriCorp drought-resistant summer corn at a cost of \)250,000 that will yield \(500,000 in revenues at harvest if there is rain, and \)350,000 in revenues if there is a drought. You are risk-averse, and your preference for family wealth (W) is specified by the relationship U(W) = √W. The probability of summer drought is 0.30, while the probability of summer rain is 0.70. Which of the three options should you choose? Explain.

A moderately risk-averse investor has 50 percent of her portfolio invested in stocks and 50 percent in risk-free Treasury bills. Show how each of the following events will affect the investor's budget line and the proportion of stocks in her portfolio:

  1. The standard deviation of the return on the stock market increases, but the expected return on the stock market remains the same.

  2. The expected return on the stock market increases, but the standard deviation of the stock market remains the same.

  3. The return on risk-free Treasury bills increases.

You are an insurance agent who must write a policy for a new client named Sam. His company, Society for Creative Alternatives to Mayonnaise (SCAM), is working on a low-fat, low-cholesterol mayonnaise substitute for the sandwich-condiment industry. The sandwich industry will pay top dollar to the first inventor to patent such a mayonnaise substitute. Sam’s SCAM seems like a very risky proposition to you. You have calculated his possible returns table as follows:

Probability
Return
Outcome
.999
-\(1,000,000
(he fails)
.001\)1,000,000,000
(he succeeds and sell his formula)

a. What is the expected return of Sam’s project? What is the variance?

b. What is the most that Sam is willing to pay for insurance? Assume Sam is risk-neutral.

c. Suppose you found out that the Japanese are on the verge of introducing their own mayonnaise substitute next month. Sam does not know this and has just turned down your final offer of $1000 for the insurance. Assume that Sam tells you SCAM is only six months away from perfecting its mayonnaise substitute and that you know what you know about the Japanese. Would you raise or lower your policy premium on any subsequent proposal to Sam? Based on his information, would Sam accept?

Suppose that Natasha’s utility function is given by u(I) = √110I, where I represents annual income in thousands of dollars.

a. Is Natasha risk loving, risk neutral, or risk averse? Explain.

b. Suppose that Natasha is currently earning an income of \(40,000 (I = 40) and can earn that income next year with certainty. She is offered a chance to take a new job that offers a .6 probability of earning \)44,000 and a .4 probability of earning $33,000. Should she take the new job?

c. In (b), would Natasha be willing to buy insurance to protect against the variable income associated with the new job? If so, how much would she be willing to pay for that insurance? (Hint: What is the risk premium?)

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