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Suppose that Natasha’s utility function is given by u(I) = √110I, where I represents annual income in thousands of dollars.

a. Is Natasha risk loving, risk neutral, or risk averse? Explain.

b. Suppose that Natasha is currently earning an income of \(40,000 (I = 40) and can earn that income next year with certainty. She is offered a chance to take a new job that offers a .6 probability of earning \)44,000 and a .4 probability of earning $33,000. Should she take the new job?

c. In (b), would Natasha be willing to buy insurance to protect against the variable income associated with the new job? If so, how much would she be willing to pay for that insurance? (Hint: What is the risk premium?)

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Natasha is risk-averse since double differentiation of the utility function is less than zero.

b. Natasha should not take the new job.

c. Yes, she would be willing to buy insurance. She would be willing to pay $198.

Step by step solution

01

Explanation for part (a)

Whether Natasha is risk-loving, risk-neutral, or risk-averse can be found from her utility function; the condition will be:

Risklover:U'I>0,U"I>0RiskNeutral:U'I=0RiskAverter:U'I>0,U"I<0

Let’s check for Natasha,

UI=10I=100.5I0.5U'I=0.5×100.5×I0.5>0U"I=0.25×100.5×I-1.5<0

Thus, Natasha is a risk averter.

02

Explanation for part (b)

Natasha’s utility from the current salary will be 1040=400=20

The expected utility from the new job will be:

EU=0.61044+0.41033=0.6×20.976+0.4×18.166=12.59+7.27=19.86

The expected utility is lower than the initial utility. As Natasha is a risk averter; she will not accept the new job.

03

Explanation for part (c)

If Natasha accepts, then being a risk averter, she will buy insurance to cover the risk.The risk premium is the amount that Natasha is willing to be paid to get the expected salary than the risky salary from the new job.

The expected salary from the new job will be

(0.6x44,000)+(0.4x33,000)=26,400+13,200=$39,600.

The expected utility from the new job is 19.86; thus, to keep the utility unchanged, the income has to be changed. Thus, with utility 19.86, the income will be:

u=10I19.85=10I394.0225=10II=39.40225I=$39,402

Thus, to keep the utility at 19.85, then the income has to be $39,402.

Natasha will be willing to pay $198 (=39,600 – 39,402) as a premium to guarantee an income of $39,600.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

As the owner of a family farm whose wealth is \(250,000, you must choose between sitting this season out and investing last year’s earnings (\)200,000) in a safe money market fund paying 5.0 percent or planting summer corn. Planting costs \(200,000, with a six-month time to harvest. If there is rain, planting summer corn will yield \)500,000 in revenues at harvest. If there is a drought, planting will yield \(50,000 in revenues. As a third choice, you can purchase AgriCorp drought-resistant summer corn at a cost of \)250,000 that will yield \(500,000 in revenues at harvest if there is rain, and \)350,000 in revenues if there is a drought. You are risk-averse, and your preference for family wealth (W) is specified by the relationship U(W) = √W. The probability of summer drought is 0.30, while the probability of summer rain is 0.70. Which of the three options should you choose? Explain.

Richard is deciding whether to buy a state lottery ticket. Each ticket costs \(1, and the probability of winning payoffs is given as follows:

PROBABILITY
RETURN
.5\)0.00
.25\(1.00
.2\)2.00
.05$7.50

a. What is the expected value of Richard's payoff if he buys a lottery ticket? What is the variance?

b. Richard's nickname is "No-Risk Rick" because he is an extremely risk-averse individual. Would he buy the ticket?

c. Richard has been given 1000 lottery tickets. Discuss how you would determine the smallest amount for which he would be willing to sell all 1000 tickets.

d. In the long run, given the price of the lottery tickets and the probability/return table, what do you think the state would do about the lottery?

A city is considering how much to spend to hire people to monitor its parking meters. The following information is available to the city manager:

  • Hiring each meter-monitor costs \(10,000 per year.

  • With one monitoring person hired, the probability of a driver getting a ticket each time he or she parks illegally is equal to .25.

  • With two monitors, the probability of getting a ticket is .5; with three monitors, the probability is .75; and with four, it's equal to 1.

  • With two monitors hired, the current fine for overtime parking is \)20.

  1. Assume first that all drivers are risk-neutral. What parking fine would you levy, and how many meter monitors would you hire (1, 2, 3, or 4) to achieve the current level of deterrence against illegal parking at the minimum cost?

  2. Now assume that drivers are highly risk-averse. How would your answer to (a) change?

  3. (For discussion) What if drivers could insure themselves against the risk of parking fines? Would it make good public policy to permit such insurance?

A moderately risk-averse investor has 50 percent of her portfolio invested in stocks and 50 percent in risk-free Treasury bills. Show how each of the following events will affect the investor's budget line and the proportion of stocks in her portfolio:

  1. The standard deviation of the return on the stock market increases, but the expected return on the stock market remains the same.

  2. The expected return on the stock market increases, but the standard deviation of the stock market remains the same.

  3. The return on risk-free Treasury bills increases.

Suppose you have invested in a new computer company whose profitability depends on two factors: (1) whether the U.S. Congress passes a tariff raising the cost of Japanese computers and (2) whether the U.S. economy grows slowly or quickly. What are the four mutually exclusive states of the world that you should be concerned about?

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