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Investment in risky assets can be examined in the state-preference framework by assuming that \(W_{0}\) dollars invested in an asset with a certain return \(r\) will yield \(W_{0}(1+r)\) in both states of the world, whereas investment in a risky asset will yield \(W_{0}\left(l+r_{g}\right)\) in good times and \(W_{0}\left(l+r_{b}\right)\) in bad times (where \(\left.r_{g}>r>r_{b}\right)\). a. Graph the outcomes from the two investments. b. Show how a "mixed portfolio" containing both risk-free and risky assets could be illustrated in your graph. How would you show the fraction of wealth invested in the risky asset? c. Show how individuals' attitudes toward risk will determine the mix of risk- free and risky assets they will hold. In what case would a person hold no risky assets? d. If an individual's utility takes the constant relative risk aversion form (Equation 7.42 ), explain why this person will not change the fraction of risky assets held as his or her wealth increases. \(^{26}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
A mixed portfolio consists of both risk-free and risky assets. Let the fraction of wealth invested in the risky asset be \(x\). Then, the fraction of wealth invested in the risk-free asset is \((1-x)\). In good times, the mixed portfolio yields \(W_{0}[x(1+r_{g})+(1-x)(1+r)]\) and in bad times, it yields \(W_{0}[x(1+r_{b})+(1-x)(1+r)]\). On the graph from part (a), plot these mixed portfolio outcomes as a convex combination of the risk-free and risky asset outcomes. For any value of \(x\) between 0 and 1, connect the good and bad state outcomes indicating the mixed portfolio outcomes in both states. #tag_title# c. Show how individuals' attitudes toward risk will determine the mix of risk-free and risky assets they will hold. In what case would a person hold no risky assets? Individuals' attitudes toward risk affect their preferences for holding risk-free and risky assets in their mixed portfolio. Risk-loving individuals are willing to take on higher risks to obtain higher potential returns, causing them to have a higher fraction of risky assets in their portfolio. Conversely, risk-averse individuals prefer more stability and lower risks, resulting in a portfolio with a higher fraction of risk-free assets. In the case where a person is extremely risk-averse, they will hold no risky assets, meaning \(x=0\), and their entire portfolio will consist of risk-free assets. #tag_title# d. If an individual's utility takes the constant relative risk aversion form (Equation 7.42), explain why this person will not change the fraction of risky assets held as his or her wealth increases. If an individual's utility function exhibits constant relative risk aversion, it means that their risk aversion remains constant as their wealth (\(W_{0}\)) changes. This is represented by the utility function \(U(W_{0}) = \frac{W_{0}^{1-\gamma}}{1-\gamma}\), where \(\gamma\) represents the relative risk aversion parameter. Since the utility function remains constant, an individual with constant relative risk aversion will maintain the same risk preferences regardless of wealth level changes. This implies that the proportion of risky assets in their portfolio (denoted by \(x\)) will not change as their wealth (\(W_{0}\)) increases or decreases.

Step by step solution

01

a. Graph the outcomes from the two investments.

To graph the outcomes of the two investments, first consider the risk-free asset with return \(r\), which yields \(W_{0}(1+r)\) in both good and bad times. The risky asset yields \(W_{0}(1+r_{g})\) in good times and \(W_{0}(1+r_{b})\) in bad times. Since \(r_{g}>r>r_{b}\), the risky asset's outcome in good times will be higher than the risk-free asset, and its outcome in bad times will be lower than the risk-free asset. On the graph, plot wealth on the horizontal axis, and put the probabilities of both states on the vertical axis. Represent the risk-free asset with an upward-sloping line connecting the points \((W_{0}(1+r), 0)\) and \((W_{0}(1+r), 1)\). For the risky asset, represent good times with a steeper line segment connecting the points \((W_{0}(1+r_{g}), 0)\) and \((W_{0}(1+r_{g}), p)\), and bad times with a less steep line segment connecting \((W_{0}(1+r_{b}), 0)\) and \((W_{0}(1+r_{b}), 1-p)\).
02

b. Show how a "mixed portfolio" containing both risk-free and risky assets could be illustrated in your graph. How would you show the fraction of wealth invested in the risky asset?

A mixed portfolio consists of both risk-free and risky assets. Let the fraction of wealth invested in the risky asset be \(x\). Then, the fraction of wealth invested in the risk-free asset is \((1-x)\). In good times, the mixed portfolio yields \(W_{0}[x(1+r_{g})+(1-x)(1+r)]\) and in bad times, it yields \(W_{0}[x(1+r_{b})+(1-x)(1+r)]\). On the graph from part (a), plot these mixed portfolio outcomes as a convex combination of the risk-free and risky asset outcomes. For any value of \(x\) between 0 and 1, connect the good and bad state outcomes indicating the mixed portfolio outcomes in both states.
03

c. Show how individuals' attitudes toward risk will determine the mix of risk-free and risky assets they will hold. In what case would a person hold no risky assets?

Individuals' attitudes toward risk affect their preferences for holding risk-free and risky assets in their mixed portfolio. Risk-loving individuals are willing to take on higher risks to obtain higher potential returns, causing them to have a higher fraction of risky assets in their portfolio. Conversely, risk-averse individuals prefer more stability and lower risks, resulting in a portfolio with a higher fraction of risk-free assets. In the case where a person is extremely risk-averse, they will hold no risky assets, meaning \(x=0\), and their entire portfolio will consist of risk-free assets.
04

d. If an individual's utility takes the constant relative risk aversion form (Equation 7.42), explain why this person will not change the fraction of risky assets held as his or her wealth increases.

If an individual's utility function exhibits constant relative risk aversion, it means that their risk aversion remains constant as their wealth (\(W_{0}\)) changes. This is represented by the utility function \(U(W_{0}) = \frac{W_{0}^{1-\gamma}}{1-\gamma}\), where \(\gamma\) represents the relative risk aversion parameter. Since the utility function remains constant, an individual with constant relative risk aversion will maintain the same risk preferences regardless of wealth level changes. This implies that the proportion of risky assets in their portfolio (denoted by \(x\)) will not change as their wealth (\(W_{0}\)) increases or decreases.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A farmer believes there is a \(50-50\) chance that the next growing season will be abnormally rainy. His expected utility function has the form \\[ E[U(Y)]=\frac{1}{2} \ln Y_{N R}+\frac{1}{2} \ln Y_{R} \\] where \(Y_{N R}\) and \(Y_{R}\) represent the farmer's income in the states of "normal rain" and "rainy," respectively. a. Suppose the farmer must choose between two crops that promise the following income prospects: \\[ \begin{array}{lcc} \text { Crop } & Y_{N R} & Y_{R} \\ \hline \text { Wheat } & \$ 28,000 & \$ 10,000 \\ \text { Corn } & \$ 19,000 & \$ 15,000 \end{array} \\] Which of the crops will he plant? b. Suppose the farmer can plant half his field with each crop. Would he choose to do so? Explain your result. c. What mix of wheat and corn would provide maximum expected utility to this farmer? d. Would wheat crop insurance-which is available to farmers who grow only wheat and which costs \(\$ 4,000\) and pays off \(\$ 8,000\) in the event of a rainy growing season-cause this farmer to change what he plants?

For the CRRA utility function (Equation 7.42), we showed that the degree of risk aversion is measured by \(1-R .\) In Chapter 3 we showed that the elasticity of substitution for the same function is given by \(1 /(1-R) .\) Hence the measures are reciprocals of each other. Using this result, discuss the following questions. a. Why is risk aversion related to an individual's willingness to substitute wealth between states of the world? What phenomenon is being captured by both concepts? b. How would you interpret the polar cases \(R=1\) and \(R=-\infty\) in both the risk-aversion and substitution frameworks? c. A rise in the price of contingent claims in "bad" times \(\left(p_{b}\right)\) will induce substitution and income effects into the demands for \(W_{g}\) and \(W_{b}\). If the individual has a fixed budget to devote to these two goods, how will choices among them be affected? Why might \(W_{g}\) rise or fall depending on the degree of risk aversion exhibited by the individual? d. Suppose that empirical data suggest an individual requires an average return of 0.5 percent before being tempted to invest in an investment that has a \(50-50\) chance of gaining or losing 5 percent. That is, this person gets the same utility from \(W_{0}\) as from an even bet on \(1.055 \mathrm{W}_{0}\) and \(0.955 W_{0}\) (1) What value of \(R\) is consistent with this behavior? (2) How much average return would this person require to accept a \(50-50\) chance of gaining or losing 10 percent? Note: This part requires solving nonlinear equations, so approximate solutions will suffice. The comparison of the risk-reward trade-off illustrates what is called the equity premium puzzle in that risky investments seem actually to earn much more than is consistent with the degree of risk aversion suggested by other data. See N. R. Kocherlakota, "The Equity Premium: It's Still a Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature (March 1996): 42-71.

The CARA and CRRA utility functions are both members of a more general class of utility functions called harmonic absolute risk aversion (HARA) functions. The general form for this function is \(U(W)=\theta(\mu+W / \gamma)^{1-\gamma},\) where the various parameters obey the following restrictions: \(\bullet\) \(\gamma \leq 1\) \(\bullet\) \(\mu+W / \gamma>0\) \(\bullet\) \(\theta[(1-\gamma) / \gamma]>0\) The reasons for the first two restrictions are obvious; the third is required so that \(U^{\prime}>0\) a. Calculate \(r(W)\) for this function. Show that the reciprocal of this expression is linear in \(W\). This is the origin of the term harmonic in the function's name. b. Show that when \(\mu=0\) and \(\theta=[(1-\gamma) / \gamma]^{\gamma-1}\), this function reduces to the CRRA function given in Chapter 7 (see footnote 17 ). c. Use your result from part (a) to show that if \(\gamma \rightarrow \infty\), then \(r(W)\) is a constant for this function. d. Let the constant found in part (c) be represented by \(A\). Show that the implied form for the utility function in this case is the CARA function given in Equation 7.35 e. Finally, show that a quadratic utility function can be generated from the HARA function simply by setting \(\gamma=-1\) f. Despite the seeming generality of the HARA function, it still exhibits several limitations for the study of behavior in uncertain situations. Describe some of these shortcomings.

Return to Example \(7.5,\) in which we computed the value of the real option provided by a flexible-fuel car. Continue to assume that the payoff from a fossil-fuel-burning car is \(O_{1}(x)=1-x\) Now assume that the payoff from the biofuel car is higher, \(\mathrm{O}_{2}(x)=2 x\). As before, \(x\) is a random variable uniformly distributed between 0 and 1 , capturing the relative availability of biofuels versus fossil fuels on the market over the future lifespan of the car. a. Assume the buyer is risk neutral with von NeumannMorgenstern utility function \(U(x)=x\). Compute the option value of a flexible-fuel car that allows the buyer to reproduce the payoff from either single-fuel car. b. Repeat the option value calculation for a risk-averse buyer with utility function \(U(x)=\sqrt{x}\) c. Compare your answers with Example \(7.5 .\) Discuss how the increase in the value of the biofuel car affects the option value provided by the flexible- fuel car.

Suppose there is a \(50-50\) chance that a risk-averse individual with a current wealth of \(\$ 20,000\) will contract a debilitating disease and suffer a loss of \(\$ 10,000\) a. Calculate the cost of actuar ially fair insurance in this situation and use a utility-of-wealth graph (such as shown in Figure 7.1 ) to show that the individual will prefer fair insurance against this loss to accepting the gamble uninsured. b. Suppose two types of insurance policies were available: (1) a fair policy covering the complete loss and (2) a fair policy covering only half of any loss incurred. Calculate the cost of the second type of policy and show that the individual will generally regard it as inferior to the first.

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