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A high-pressure life insurance salesman was heard to make the following argument: "At your age a \(\$ 100,000\) whole life policy is a much better buy than a similar term policy. Under a whole life policy you'll have to pay \(\$ 2,000\) per year for the first 4 years but nothing more for the rest of your life. A term policy will cost you \(\$ 400\) per year, essentially forever. If you live 35 years, you'll pay only \(\$ 8,000\) for the whole life policy, but \(\$ 14,000(=\$ 400 \cdot 35)\) for the term policy. Surely, the whole life is a better deal"" Assuming the salesman's life expectancy assumption is correct, how would you evaluate this argument? Specifically, calculate the present discounted value of the premium costs of the two policies assuming the interest rate is 10 percent.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The term policy can be considered cheaper in terms of the present value of premium costs.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the cash flows for each policy

For the whole life policy, the cash flow is a payment of \(2,000 per year for the first four years. For the term policy, it is a payment of \)400 per year for 35 years.
02

Calculate the present value of cash flows for the whole life policy

To calculate the present value of cash flows for the whole life policy, we can use the formula for the present value of a finite series of cash flows: \(PV = \sum_{i=1}^{n}\frac{C}{(1+r)^i}\) In our case, n=4 (four years of payments), C=$2,000 (payment per year), and r=0.1 (10% interest rate). Plugging these values into the formula, we get: \(PV = \frac{2000}{(1+0.1)^1} + \frac{2000}{(1+0.1)^2} + \frac{2000}{(1+0.1)^3} +\frac{2000}{(1+0.1)^4}\) Calculating the present value: \(PV = 2000/1.1 + 2000/1.21+ 2000/1.331+ 2000/1.4641= 1818.18 + 1652.89 + 1502.63 + 1366.03 \approx 6339.73\) The present value of the premium costs for the whole life policy is approximately $6,339.73.
03

Calculate the present value of cash flows for the term policy

Next, we will calculate the present value of cash flows for the term policy using the same formula. This time, n=35 (35 years of payments), C=$400 (payment per year), and r=0.1 (10% interest rate). \(PV = \sum_{i=1}^{35}\frac{400}{(1+0.1)^i}\) The expression looks long and complicated, so we can modify it a bit. Since each term has a 400 on the numerator, we can factor it out and rewrite the formula as: \(PV = 400\left(\sum_{i=1}^{35}\frac{1}{(1+0.1)^i}\right)\) Using a calculator or spreadsheet, we can compute the sum inside the bracket, which is approximately equal to 9.4269 \(PV = 400 \times 9.4269 \approx 3770.76\) The present value of the premium costs for the term policy is approximately $3,770.76.
04

Compare the present values and evaluate the salesman's argument

Now that we have the present values for both policies, we can compare them: - Whole life policy: $6,339.73 - Term policy: $3,770.76 Based on these calculations, the term policy has a lower present value of premium costs compared to the whole life policy (\(3,770.76 < \)6,339.73). Therefore, the term policy can be considered cheaper in terms of the present value of premium costs, contradicting the salesman's argument that the whole life policy is a better deal.

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