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If a country such as Greece that has joined the European Monetary Union can no longer use an independent monetary policy to offset a recession, what sorts of fiscal policy initiatives might it undertake? Give at least two examples.

Short Answer

Expert verified

A higher weightage is given to various local business cycles when setting monetary policy and interest rates, which precludes the independent monetary policy of Greece.

Greece can make "internal adjustments" like lowering tax rates and implementing recession-induced deflation as remedial measures to overcome such a situation.

Step by step solution

01

Independent monetary policy loss

A shared currency precludes independent monetary policies and external adjustments.

When a group of countries uses different currencies, international trade is hampered by currency-conversion fees, exchange-rate risk, and the difficulties faced by shoppers when prices are quoted in multiple currencies.

When Greece joined the European Monetary Union, it retained its central bank but ceded control over monetary policy to the central authority of the European Central Bank (ECB). This is because suppose that Greece is in a recession while the rest of Europe is booming. The European Central Bank has to set a single policy for all members as a majority have booming economies. As such, the ECB will choose to either keep interest rates constant or even raise them—just the opposite of what recessionary Greece needs.

Thus, when setting the European Union's monetary policy and interest rates, a higher weightage is given to various local business cycles (like inflation, deflation, boom, etc.).

02

Internal adjustments as remedial measures

A country that joins a currency union also loses the ability to maintain competitiveness in international trade by making "external adjustments" to its current account balance.

Greece can take "internal adjustments" as remedial measures. Such measures would include implementing an expansionary fiscal policy like lowering tax rates and other structural changes like liberalizing labor laws and reforming the bloated and corrupt public sector.

But such "structural changes" can be challenging to implement because of strong internal resistance from special interests. In such circumstances, Greece can implement another type of internal adjustment: a recession-induced deflation in which falling aggregate demand will slowly lower the domestic price level. The recession will end, but only after the price level falls by enough to induce consumers to buy more Greek products at home and abroad.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Explain why you agree or disagree with the following statements. Assume other things equal.

a. A country that grows faster than its major trading partners can expect the international value of its currency to depreciate.

b. A nation whose interest rate is rising more rapidly than interest rates in other nations can expect the international value of its currency to appreciate.

c. A country's currency will appreciate if its inflation rate is less than that of the rest of the world.

Refer to the following table, in which Qd is the quantity of loonies demanded, P is the dollar price of loonies, Qs is the quantity of loonies supplied in year 1, and Qs′ is the quantity of loonies supplied in year 2. All quantities are in billions, and the dollar-loonie exchange rate is fully flexible.

QdPQsQ's
101253020
151202515
201152010
25110155

a. What is the equilibrium dollar price of loonies in year 1?

b. What is the equilibrium dollar price of loonies in year 2?

c. Did the loonie appreciate, or did it depreciate relative to the dollar between years 1 and 2?

d. Did the dollar appreciate or did it depreciate relative to the loonie between years 1 and 2?

e. Which one of the following could have caused the change in relative values of the dollar (used in the United States) and the loonie (used in Canada) between years 1 and 2: (1) More rapid inflation in the United States than in Canada, (2) an increase in the real interest rate in the United States but not in Canada, or (3) faster income growth in the United States than in Canada?

Explain why the U.S. demand for Mexican pesos slopes downward and the supply of pesos to Americans slopes upward. Assuming a system of flexible exchange rates between Mexico and the United States, indicate whether each of the following will cause the Mexican peso to appreciate or depreciate, other things equal:

a. The United States unilaterally reduces tariffs on Mexican products.

b. Mexico encounters severe inflation.

c. Deteriorating political relations reduce American tourism in Mexico.

d. The U.S. economy moves into a severe recession.

e. The United States engages in a high-interest-rate monetary policy.

f. Mexican products become more fashionable to U.S. consumers.

g. The Mexican government encourages U.S. firms to invest in Mexican oil fields.

h. The rate of productivity growth in the United States diminishes sharply.

Suppose that a country has a trade surplus of \(50 billion, a balance on the capital account of \)10 billion, and a balance on the current account of −\(200 billion. The balance on the capital and financial account is:

a. \)10 billion.

b. \(50 billion.

c. \)200 billion.

d. −$200 billion.

Is it accurate to think of a fixed exchange rate as a simultaneous price ceiling and price floor? Explain.

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