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Chapter 16: Q.b For Critical Thinking (page 359)

Why might the fact that private economic forecasters compete to sell their services help to constrain behavioural tendencies for too much optimism in projections of real GDP growth? Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Private economic forecasters competing to sell their services help to constrain behavioural tendencies for too much optimism in projections of real GDP growth due to heightened business uncertainty.

Step by step solution

01

introduction

Both private-area and other government forecasters have more humble assumptions than the Trump organization. His organization is making nitty-gritty projections that the economy will grow a lot quicker in the ten years ahead than it has as of late - a conjecture that supports the Trump strategy plan.

02

explanation part (1)

Organizations impacted by the global exchange are unsure of the way in which President Trump will seek after diminished imports and more prominent products. That affects horticulture, production, retail exchange, wholesalers and transportation administrations

03

explanation part (2)

Organizations that could have representatives who are settlers with fake records are questionable about reviews that could cause a deficiency of labourers. That impacts again on horticulture, development, fabricating, eateries, lodgings, and some business administrations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the data in Problem 16-10. Suppose that the money supply increases by $ 100 billion and real GDP and the income velocity remain unchanged.

a. According to the quantity theory of money and prices, what is the new equilibrium price level after full adjustment to the increase in the money supply?

b. What is the percentage increase in the money supply?

c. What is the percentage change in the price level?

d. How do the percentage changes in the money supply and price level compare?

Suppose that to finance its credit policy, the Fed pays an annual interest rate of 0.50 per cent on bank reserves. During the course of the current year, banks hold $1 trillion in reserves. What is the total amount of interest the Fed pays banks during the year?

Assume that the following conditions exist :

a. All banks are fully loaned up - there are no excess reserves, and desired excess reserves are always zero.

b. The money multiplier is 3.

c. The planned investment schedule is such that at a 6percent rate of interest, the investment is \(1200billion; at 5 percent, investment is \)1225billion

d. The investment multiplier is 3.

e. The initial equilibrium level of real GDP is \(18trillion.

f. The equilibrium rate of interest is 6percent.

Now the Fed engages in expansionary monetary policy. It buys \)1billion worth of bonds, which increases the money supply, which in turn lowers the market rate of interest by 1percentage point. Determine how much money supply must have increased, and then trace out the numerical consequences of the associated reduction in interest rates on all the other variables mentioned.

Evaluate how expansionary and contractionary monetary policy actions affect equilibrium real GDP and the price level in the short run.

During an interval between mid-2010 and early 2011, the Federal Reserve embarked on a policy it termed "quantitative easing." Total reserves in the banking system increased. Hence, the Federal Reserve's liabilities to banks increased, and at the same time, its assets rose as it purchased more assets-many of which were securities with private market values that had dropped considerably. The money multiplier declined, so the net increase in the money supply was negligible. Indeed, during a portion of the period, the money supply actually declined before rising near its previous value. Evaluate whether the Fed's "quantitative easing" was a monetary policy or credit policy action.

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