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What actions should the Fed take if it wants to move from a point on the short-run Phillips curve representing high unemployment and low inflation to a point representing lower unemployment and higher inflation?

Short Answer

Expert verified
To move from high unemployment and low inflation to lower unemployment and higher inflation on the short-run Phillips curve, the Fed should use its monetary policy tools to stimulate the economy. These include lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing and investment, and conducting open market operations (buying government securities) to increase the money supply and induce inflation.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Current Situation

First, acknowledge that the Fed is currently in a situation of high unemployment and low inflation, as indicated by the starting point on the short-run Phillips curve. This is typically associated with a slow economy, where both jobs and price levels are stagnating.
02

Determine Desired Situation

The goal is to transition to a state of lower unemployment and higher inflation. This implies economic stimulation to create more jobs (decreasing unemployment) and increase price levels (inflation).
03

Implement Monetary Policy

Next, consider the monetary policy instruments in the Fed's toolkit, such as the control over interest rates and the conducting of open market operations. To stimulate the economy, the Fed could decrease interest rates, which would encourage borrowing and investing, thereby boosting economic activity and job creation. Moreover, by conducting open market operations, particularly by buying government securities, the Fed increases the money supply in the economy, which can lead to inflation.
04

Observe the Shift on the Phillips Curve

These actions would cause a movement along the short-run Phillips curve from the initial point of high unemployment and low inflation, towards the desired point of lower unemployment and higher inflation.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Federal Reserve actions
The Federal Reserve, often simply called the Fed, is a central entity in the U.S. financial system. It plays a key role in the economy, especially when it comes to managing certain economic indicators such as unemployment and inflation. To influence these indicators, the Fed implements various actions.
One primary action is adjusting interest rates. By lowering interest rates, the Fed makes borrowing cheaper. This encourages businesses to invest and expand, creating more jobs and thus reducing unemployment.
Another action is open market operations, where the Fed buys or sells government securities in the market. Buying these securities injects money into the economy, increasing the money supply, which can also stimulate job creation and affect inflation rates. These actions altogether help in steering the U.S. economy toward a more desirable state.
Unemployment reduction
Reducing unemployment is a critical goal for economic policymakers, including the Federal Reserve. Unemployment occurs when people who are willing and able to work cannot find employment. High unemployment rates can indicate an underperforming economy with untapped workforce potential.
To reduce unemployment, the Fed might lower interest rates, making it cheaper for businesses to get loans to invest in their operations. This investment can lead to business growth, which often requires hiring additional employees, thus lowering unemployment.
Moreover, an increase in money supply through open market operations puts more funds in the hands of consumers and businesses. This increased spending can lead to more demand for goods and services, pushing companies to hire more workers to meet this demand. This collective effort aims to shift the economy toward full employment, where everyone who wants a job has one.
Monetary policy
Monetary policy refers to the actions undertaken by a central bank, like the Federal Reserve, to influence the economy's money supply and interest rates. Its primary goals are stable prices, high employment, and economic growth.
The tools of monetary policy include adjusting the federal funds rate, conducting open market operations, and changing reserve requirements for banks. By lowering interest rates, the Fed makes borrowing more attractive, leading to more investment and consumption.
Open market operations—buying or selling government bonds—further influence the money supply. Buying bonds injects money into the financial system, while selling them decreases liquidity. These actions can impact inflation and unemployment, harnessing the power of monetary policy to achieve economic stability.
Inflation management
Inflation management is an essential aspect of the Fed's responsibilities. Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. While some inflation is normal and even desirable, as it reflects a growing economy, too much can be harmful.
The Fed manages inflation primarily through its control of interest rates. Raising rates can help cool down an overheating economy by making borrowing more expensive, which can reduce spending and investment.
However, if the Fed wants to increase inflation, it can lower interest rates or buy government securities to inject more money into the economy. These methods aim to boost economic activity, which typically causes prices to rise moderately. Through careful management of these tools, the Fed seeks to maintain a balance, fostering economic conditions that support sustainable growth.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An article in the Economist stated, "Robert Lucas ... showed how incorporating expectations into macroeconomic models muddled the framework economists prior to the 'rational expectations revolution' thought they saw so clearly." What economic framework did economists change as a result of Lucas's arguments? Do all economists agree with Lucas's main conclusions about whether monetary policy is effective? Briefly explain.

(Related to the Chapter Opener on page 994) In its 2016 Annual Report, Toll Brothers noted, "If mortgage interest rates increase significantly ... our revenues, gross margins, and net income could be adversely affected." a. Why might an increase in mortgage interest rates reduce revenue and profit for Toll Brothers? b. During this period, was Fed policy attempting to reach a point on the short-run Phillips curve representing higher unemployment and lower inflation or a point representing higher inflation and lower unemployment? Briefly explain. c. What connection is there between Fed policy and Toll Brothers' concern about the effect of rising mortgage interest rates on its profit?

While many economists and policymakers supported the Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate at a nearzero level for over six years, Charles Schwab, the founder and chairman of a discount brokerage firm that bears his name, argued that the economy was harmed by keeping interest rates low for an extended period of time: U.S. households lost billions in interest income during the Fed's near-zero interest rate experiment.... Because they are often reliant on income from savings, seniors were hit the hardest.... Seniors make up \(13 \%\) of the U.S. population and spend about \(\$ 1.2\) trillion annually.... This makes for a potent multiplier effect. a. What type of spending was Schwab expecting would have increased if the Fed had raised interest rates earlier than it did? b. Would higher interest rates have had an effect on other types of spending? Briefly explain. c. Which of the types of spending that you discussed in answering parts (a) and (b) does the Fed appear to believe has the more "potent multiplier effect"? Briefly explain.

An opinion column in the Wall Street Journal noted, "In a democracy, the tradeoff for a central bank's independence is accountability to the nation's elected leadership." a. Why would a country want to grant its central bank more independence than it grants, say, its department of agriculture or department of education? b. In the United States, how is the Fed held accountable to the nation's elected leadership? Source: David Wessel, "Explaining 'Audit the Fed," Wall Street Journal, February 17, 2015 .

A column in the New York Times in 2017 was titled "The Low-Inflation World May Be Sticking Around Longer Than Expected." Are the low inflation rates of recent years entirely the result of Federal Reserve policy? Could they have occurred without the Fed having a mandate to achieve price stability? Briefly explain.

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