An article on Reuters discussing a Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy
meeting in early 2017 , stated that the RBI "changed its stance to 'neutral'
from 'accommodative,' saying it would monitor inflation." The article noted
that "the decision to hold [the interest rate that is the RBI's equivalent of
the federal funds rate constant] is a risk, as private forecasts are more
pessimistic [about economic growth] than the RBI."
a. Draw a dynamic aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph to show where
the RBI expected real GDP to be relative to potential GDP in 2017 if it kept
the target interest unchanged. Assume, for simplicity, that real GDP in India
in 2016 equaled potential GDP. Briefly explain what is happening in your
graph.
b. In the same graph, show where the private forecasters who are more
pessimistic about growth see the economy in 2017 . Briefly explain what is
happening in your graph.