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Briefly discuss the factors that caused the recession of \(2007-2009 .\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The recession of 2007-2009 was primarily caused by the bursting of the housing bubble, risky financial practices and instruments, and the resultant credit freeze.

Step by step solution

01

Housing Bubble and its Bursting

One of the main causes of the recession was the bursting of the housing bubble. Banks were lending to individuals who could not afford mortgages, causing a surge in house prices. When these individuals defaulted on their loans, house prices fell drastically, leading to a crisis in the mortgage industry and a sharp decline in the value of mortgage-backed securities held by many financial institutions.
02

Financial Instruments and Practices

Banks and other financial institutions had been engaged in the practice of securitization, turning mortgages and other debts into securities that could be sold to investors. Additionally, many financial institutions had taken on too much risk with complex financial products like collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and credit default swaps (CDSs). When the housing market collapsed, the value of these securities plummeted, leading to huge losses.
03

Credit Freeze

As a result of massive losses on bad loans and risky securities, many financial institutions faced potential insolvency. This led to a freeze in lending (credit crunch), which further deepened the recession. Companies found it difficult to borrow money, resulting in cutbacks and layoffs.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Housing Bubble
The housing bubble was at the heart of the 2007-2009 recession. A bubble, in this context, refers to a market phenomenon characterized by an inflating value of assets beyond their intrinsic worth. The housing bubble occurred when house prices surged rapidly due to high demand, speculative buying, and easy lending practices.

Many banks relaxed their lending standards, offering loans to individuals with low creditworthiness, often referred to as subprime mortgages. These borrowers frequently found themselves unable to meet their mortgage payments. This pushed house prices too high and eventually, when borrowers defaulted, led to the bubble bursting.

A deluge of foreclosures put downward pressure on house prices, causing them to fall dramatically. As a result, mortgage-backed securities—a type of financial instrument—lost value. This sparked a crisis in financial institutions as their holdings decreased significantly in value.
Financial Instruments
Prior to the recession, banks had been engaged in practices of turning mortgages and other types of debt into financial instruments that could be sold to investors. This process is known as securitization.

These financial instruments, such as mortgage-backed securities (MBS), collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), and credit default swaps (CDSs) became popular. They allowed banks to clear their balance sheets and gain liquidity by selling off the risk associated with these debts.

Many of these products were complex and opaque. Banks and investors often underestimated the risk involved. When the housing bubble burst, and people defaulted on their mortgages, the value of these securities plummeted. Financial institutions that held large amounts of these instruments faced enormous losses, contributing heavily to the financial crisis.
Credit Freeze
The bursting of the housing bubble and the collapse of financial instruments led to a crisis in confidence among financial institutions. This caused a credit freeze, also known as a credit crunch.

Faced with heavy losses, banks became hesitant to lend to each other and to businesses. The perceived risk of default was too high. Traditional sources of funding dried up almost overnight. As lending evaporated, businesses struggled to secure capital for day-to-day operations.

The economy relies on credit to facilitate growth and innovation. A credit freeze leads to a contraction in spending and investment. As companies cut back on expenses, many were forced to lay off workers, contributing to rising unemployment and further deepening the recession.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

What variables cause the \(A D\) curve to shift? For each variable, identify whether an increase in that variable will cause the \(A D\) curve to shift to the right or to the left and also indicate which component(s) of GDP- consumption, investment, government purchases, or net exports-will change.

A student is asked to draw an aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph to illustrate the effect of an increase in aggregate supply. The student draws the following graph: The student explains the graph as follows: An increase in aggregate supply causes a shift from \(\operatorname{SRAS}_{1}\) to \(S R A S_{2}\). Because this shift in the aggregate supply curve results in a lower price level, consumption, investment, and net exports will increase. This change causes the aggregate demand curve to shift to the right, from \(\mathrm{AD}_{1}\) to \(\mathrm{AD}_{2}\). We know that real GDP will increase, but we can't be sure whether the price level will rise or fall because that depends on whether the aggregate supply curve or the aggregate demand curve has shifted farther to the right. I assume that aggregate supply shifts out farther than aggregate demand, so I show the final price level, \(P_{3}\), as being lower than the initial price level, \(P_{1}\). Explain whether you agree with the student's analysis. Be careful to explain exactly what - if anything-you find wrong with this analysis.

Explain whether you agree with the following statement: The dynamic aggregate demand and aggregate supply model predicts that a recession caused by a decline in \(A D\) will cause the inflation rate to fall. I know that the \(2007-2009\) recession was caused by a fall in \(A D,\) but the inflation rate was not lower as a result of the recession. The prices of most products were definitely higher in 2008 than they were in 2007 , so the inflation rate could not have fallen.

Suppose the economy enters a recession. If government policymakers- Congress, the president, and members of the Federal Reserve -do not take any policy actions in response to the recession, which of the alternatives listed below is the likely result? Be sure to carefully explain why you chose the answer you did. 1\. The unemployment rate will rise and remain higher even in the long run, and real GDP will drop below potential GDP and remain lower than potential GDP in the long run. 2\. The unemployment rate will rise in the short run but return to the natural rate of unemployment in the long run, and real GDP will drop below potential GDP in the short run but return to potential GDP in the long run. 3\. The unemployment rate will rise and remain higher even in the long run, and real GDP will drop below potential GDP in the short run but return to potential GDP in the long run. 4\. The unemployment rate will rise in the short run but return to the natural rate of unemployment in the long run, and real GDP will drop below potential GDP in the short run and remain lower than potential GDP in the long run.

Economists Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn, and Timothy Ni of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco argued that "employers hesitate to reduce wages and workers are reluctant to accept wage cuts, even during recessions." If a firm faces declining sales during a recession, why might the firm's managers decide to lay off some workers and freeze the wages of other workers rather than cut workers' nominal wages?

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