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Use the following information to work Problems \(14-16\) According to the East Asia and Pacific Economic Update published by the World Bank in April 2015 the following factors have affected China's real GDP in 2015 Global economic recovery supports a moderate increase in China's exports. China benefits from a fall in the world price of oil Chinese government to cut excess capacity in heavy industry. U.S. firms to relocate their labor-intensive manufacturing industries to low-cost countries. Explain how each of the above factors changes short-run aggregate supply, long-run aggregate supply, aggregate demand, or some combination of them.

Short Answer

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Global economic recovery increases AD. Fall in oil prices increases SRAS and LRAS. Government cuts may increase LRAS. U.S. firms relocating increases AD and SRAS.

Step by step solution

01

Factor Analysis - Global Economic Recovery

The global economic recovery supports an increase in China's exports. This factor primarily affects China's aggregate demand (AD) because increased exports mean that there is a higher demand for Chinese goods and services. As a result, the aggregate demand curve will shift to the right.
02

Factor Analysis - Fall in World Oil Prices

A fall in the world price of oil reduces production costs for Chinese firms, which affects both short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) and long-run aggregate supply (LRAS). Lower costs will lead to an increase in SRAS and LRAS, shifting both the SRAS and LRAS curves to the right.
03

Factor Analysis - Government Cuts in Heavy Industry

The Chinese government's action to cut excess capacity in heavy industry primarily affects the long-run aggregate supply (LRAS). By reducing excess capacity, the government aims to make industries more efficient, which could improve LRAS, shifting that curve to the right. However, in the short run, this might slightly reduce SRAS due to initial adjustments.
04

Factor Analysis - U.S. Firms Relocating

U.S. firms relocating their labor-intensive manufacturing industries to low-cost countries can increase China's aggregate demand (AD) due to potential investments and production increase in China. This relocation also possibly influences SRAS positively due to a boost in production capabilities.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

aggregate demand
Aggregate demand (AD) represents the total demand for goods and services within an economy. It is composed of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports). One key aspect to understand is that any increase or decrease in these components will shift the AD curve. For instance, in China, the global economic recovery boosts demand for Chinese exports. This increase means more foreign consumers want Chinese goods, shifting the AD curve to the right. Similarly, investments from U.S. firms relocating to China due to lower costs could also bolster AD, leading to higher economic growth. Keeping track of external and internal demand factors is crucial for understanding shifts in the economy.
short-run aggregate supply
Short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) shows the relationship between the total goods and services that firms produce and the price level in the short run, assuming some production factors are fixed. For China, several factors can influence SRAS. A critical example is the fall in world oil prices. Lower oil prices reduce production costs for businesses, making it cheaper to produce goods and services. This reduction in costs shifts the SRAS curve to the right, indicating an increase in the quantity supplied at each price level. However, government cuts in heavy industry capacity might temporarily reduce SRAS due to initial adjustments before any efficiency gains are realized.
long-run aggregate supply
Long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) represents the total amount of goods and services that an economy can produce when it is fully utilizing its resources. Unlike the short run, in the long run, all factors of production are variable. Various elements affect LRAS in China. One prominent factor is the government's efforts to cut excess capacity in heavy industry. By making industries more efficient, LRAS is likely to shift to the right, indicating an improvement in potential output. Lower world oil prices also enhance LRAS because sustained lower costs enhance long-term productivity. These shifts signify economic growth and a higher standard of living as the economy's productive potential rises.
global economic recovery
A global economic recovery has significant implications for China's economy. It generally means other countries are experiencing growth, leading to increased demand for imports, including Chinese goods and services. This demand shift translates to a rightward shift in China's aggregate demand. Additionally, the recovery might entail higher foreign investments in China, driven by better global financial conditions. When other economies are doing well, trade volumes and global supply chains also strengthen, benefiting exporters like China. Thus, a global recovery is a critical driver of economic prosperity for China, enhancing both its export markets and investment inflows.
world oil prices
World oil prices play a crucial role in shaping economic conditions. For countries like China, oil is a significant input in many production processes. A decrease in oil prices means lower production costs for businesses. Consequently, this price reduction shifts both the SRAS and LRAS curves to the right. Lower costs in the short run increase profit margins and outputs, enhancing SRAS. In the long run, consistent lower costs increase overall production capacity and efficiency, benefiting LRAS. Thus, monitoring world oil prices helps predict cost-related shifts in supply and overall economic health.
heavy industry capacity
Heavy industry capacity refers to the production capability of sectors like steel, cement, and machinery. In China, the government has implemented measures to cut excess capacity in these heavy industries. This initiative mainly aims to enhance efficiency and reduce wasteful production. In the short run, production adjustments might slightly reduce SRAS. However, in the long run, more efficient industries contribute to a shift rightward in the LRAS curve. Improved efficiency means better utilization of resources, higher productivity, and increased potential output. Such changes are crucial for long-term sustainable growth.
manufacturing relocation
Manufacturing relocation typically involves shifting production facilities to locations with lower labor costs to reduce expenses and increase profitability. For China, U.S. firms relocating their manufacturing operations to China epitomize this trend. This relocation increases aggregate demand as these firms invest and produce more within the Chinese economy. In the short run, it positively affects SRAS by expanding production capabilities and enhancing supply chains. This influx can generate employment opportunities, increase consumer spending, and drive further economic growth. Thus, manufacturing relocation is a vital factor in shaping economic dynamics and boosting overall supply and demand.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Cut Taxes and Boost Spending? Raise Taxes and Cut Spending? Cut Taxes and Cut Spending? This headline expresses three views about what to do to get the U.S. economy growing more rapidly and contribute to closing the recessionary gap. Economists from which macroeconomic school of thought would recommend pursuing policies described by each of these views?

Explain for each event whether it changes the quantity of real GDP supplied, short-run aggregate supply, long-run aggregate supply, or a combination of them. Hong Kong firms switch to lower-cost \(3 \mathrm{D}\) printing technology. An ageing population is expected to shrink Hong Kong's labor force. Foreign students in Hong Kong universities get temporary work permits. Firms from mainland China open offices in Hong Kong. The Hong Kong price level rises.

Use the following information to work Problems \(14-16\) According to the East Asia and Pacific Economic Update published by the World Bank in April 2015 the following factors have affected China's real GDP in 2015 Global economic recovery supports a moderate increase in China's exports. China benefits from a fall in the world price of oil Chinese government to cut excess capacity in heavy industry. U.S. firms to relocate their labor-intensive manufacturing industries to low-cost countries. Explain the combined effects of these factors on China's real GDP and the price level, starting from a position of long-run equilibrium.

Labor productivity is rising at a rapid rate in China and wages are rising at a similar rate. Explain how a rise in labor productivity and wages in China will influence the quantity of real GDP supplied and aggregate supply in China.

Brazil Falls into Recession A decade ago Brazil had rapid growth, but now its economy is experiencing a slowdown with investment falling and inventories increasing. Potential GDP growth rate has slowed. Business and consumer confidence has fallen. Source: BBC News, August 29, 2014 a. Explain the effect of a decrease in investment on real GDP and potential GDP. b. Explain how business and consumer confidence influences aggregate expenditure.

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