China grows at around 9 percent a year, but its one-child policy will start to
reduce the size of China's working-age population within the next 10 years.
India, by contrast, will have an increasing working-age population for another
generation at least.
a. Given the expected population changes, do you think China or India will
have the greater economic growth rate? Why?
b. Would China's growth rate remain at 9 percent a year without the
restriction on its population growth rate?
c. India's population growth rate is 1.6 percent a year, and in 2005 its
economic growth rate was 8 percent a year. China's population growth rate is
0.6 percent a year, and in 2005 its economic growth rate was 9 percent a year.
In what year will real GDP per person double in each country?