Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, bool given in /var/www/html/web/app/themes/studypress-core-theme/template-parts/header/mobile-offcanvas.php on line 20

Peninsular Research is initiating coverage of a mature manufacturing industry. John Jones, CFA, head of the research department, gathered the following fundamental industry and market data to help in his analysis:

Forecast Industry earnings retention rate

40%

Forecast industry returns on equity

25%

Industry beta

1.2

Government bond yield

6%

Equity risk premium

5%

a. Compute the price-to-earnings (P0 / E1) ratio for the industry based on this fundamental data.

b. Jones wants to analyze how fundamental P/E ratios might differ among countries. He gathered the following economic and market data:

Fundamental factors

Country A

Country B

Forecast growth in real GDP

5%

2%

Government bond yield

10%

6%

Equity risk premium

5%

4%

Determine whether each of these fundamental factors would cause P/E ratios to be generally higher for Country A or higher for Country B.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a.30.0

b. (i) Yes (ii) Yes (iii) Yes

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of estimated industry P/E ‘a’

gind =ROE X retention rate = 0.25 x 0.40 = 0.10

rind = government bond yield + ( industry beta x equity risk premium)

= 0.06 + (1.2 x 0.05)

= 0.12

Therefore

P0/P1 = Payout ratio / r – g

= 0.60 / (0.12 – 0.10)

= 30.0

02

Explanation on P/E ratios ‘b’

(i) Forecast growth in real GDP would cause P/E ratio to be higher for country A. This would imply higher earnings growth and a higher P/E

(ii) The higher P/E ratio for country B would be caused by government bond yield. A lower government bond yield would mean low risk free rate and higher P/E

(iii) The higher P/E ratio for country B would be caused by equity risk premium. A lower equity risk premium would mean lower required return and a higher P/E.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with Vaia!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following case in answering Problems 29 – 32:

Mary Smith, a Level II CFA candidate, was recently hired for an analyst position at the Bank of Ireland. Her first assignment is to examine the competitive strategies employed by various French wineries.

Smith’s report identifies four wineries that are the major players in the French wine industry. The key characteristics of each are cited in Table 12.6. In the body of Smith’s report, she includes a discussion of the competitive structure of the French wine industry. She notes that over the past five years, the French wine industry has not responded to changing consumer tastes. Profit margins have declined steadily, and the number of firms representing the industry has decreased from 10 to 4. It appears that participants in the French wine industry must consolidate in order to survive.

Smith’s report notes that French consumers have strong bargaining power over the industry.

She supports this conclusion with five key points, which she labels “Bargaining Power of Buyers”:

  • Many consumers are drinking more beer than wine with meals and on social occasions.
  • Increasing sales over the Internet have allowed consumers to better research the wines, read opinions from other customers, and identify which producers have the best prices.
  • The French wine industry is consolidating and consists of only 4 wineries today compared to 10 wineries five years ago.
  • More than 65% of the business for the French wine industry consists of purchases from restaurants. Restaurants typically make purchases in bulk, buying four to five cases of wine at a time.
  • Land, where the soil is fertile enough to grow grapes necessary for the wine production process, is scarce in France.

After completing the first draft of her report, Smith takes it to her boss, RonVanDriesen, to review. VanDriesen tells her that he is a wine connoisseur himself and often makes purchases from the South Winery. Smith tells VanDriesen, “In my report, I have classified the South Winery as a stuck-in-the-middle firm. It tries to be a cost leader by selling its wine at a price that is slightly below the other firms, but it also tries to differentiate itself from its competitors by producing wine in bottles with curved necks, which increases its cost structure. The end result is that the South Winery’s profit margin gets squeezed from both sides.” VanDriesen replies, “I have met members of the management team from the South Winery at a couple of the wine conventions I have attended. I believe that the South Winery could succeed at following

both cost leadership and a differentiation strategy if its operations were separated into distinct operating units, with each unit pursuing a different competitive strategy.” Smith makes a note to do more research on generic competitive strategies to verify VanDriesen’s assertions before publishing the final draft of her report.

Smith notes in her report that the West Winery might differentiate its wine product on attributes that buyers perceive to be important. Which of the following attributes would be the most likely area of focus for the West Winery to create a differentiated product?

a. The method of delivery for the product

b. The price of the product

c. A focus on customers aged 30 to 45

Janet Ludlow is preparing a report on U.S.-based manufacturers in the electric toothbrush industry and has gathered the information shown in Tables 12.8 and 12.9. Ludlow’s report concludes that the electric toothbrush industry is in the maturity (i.e., late) phase of its industry life cycle.

a. Select and justify three factors from Table 12.8 that support Ludlow’s conclusion.

b. Select and justify three factors from Table 12.9 that refute Ludlow’s conclusion.

FinCorp’s free cash flow to the firm is reported as \(205 million. The firm’s interest expense is \)22 million. Assume the tax rate is 35% and the net debt of the firm increases by $3 million. What is the market value of equity if the FCFE is projected to grow at 3% indefinitely and the cost of equity is 12%?

Chiptech, Inc., is an established computer chip firm with several profitable existing products as well as some promising new products in development. The company earned \(1 per share last year and just paid out a dividend of \).50 per share. Investors believe the company plans to maintain its dividend payout ratio at 50%. ROE equals 20%. Everyone in the market expects this situation to persist indefinitely

a. What is the market price of Chiptech stock? The required return for the computer chip industry is 15%, and the company has just gone ex-dividend (i.e., the next dividend will be paid a year from now, at t = 1).

b. Suppose you discover that Chiptech’s competitor has developed a new chip that will eliminate Chiptech’s current technological advantage in this market. This new product, which will be ready to come to the market in two years, will force Chiptech to reduce the prices of its chips to remain competitive. This will decrease ROE to 15%, and, because of falling demand for its product, Chiptech will decrease the plowback ratio to .40. The plowback ratio will be decreased at the end of the second year, at t = 2: The annual year-end dividend for the second year (paid at t = 2) will be 60% of that year’s earnings. What is your estimate of Chiptech’s intrinsic value per share?

( Hint: Carefully prepare a table of Chiptech’s earnings and dividends for each of the next three years. Pay close attention to the change in the payout ratio in t = 2.)

c. No one else in the market perceives the threat to Chiptech’s market. In fact, you are confident that no one else will become aware of the change in Chiptech’s competitive status until the competitor firm publicly announces its discovery near the end of year 2. What will be the rate of return on Chiptech stock in the coming year (i.e., between t = 0 and t = 1)? In the second year (between t = 1 and t = 2)? The third year (between t = 2 and t = 3)? ( Hint: Pay attention to when the market catches on to the new situation. A table of dividends and market prices over time might help.)

What monetary and fiscal policies might be prescribed for an economy in a deep recession?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Business Studies Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.

Sign-up for free