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Christie Johnson, CFA, has been assigned to analyze Sundanci using the constant dividend-growth price–earnings (P/E) ratio model. Johnson assumes that Sundanci’s earnings and dividends will grow at a constant rate of 13%.

a. Calculate the P/E ratio based on information in Tables 13.11 and 13.12 and on Johnson’s assumptions for Sundanci.

b. Identify, within the context of the constant-dividend-growth model, how each of the following factors would affect the P/E ratio.

• Risk (beta) of Sundanci.

• Estimated growth rate of earnings and dividends.

• Market risk premium.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

a.33.9 and 30.0

b.

  • lower the P/E ratio
  • increase the expected growth rate.
  • lower Sundanci's P/E ratio.

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of P/E ratio

Price earnings ratio (P/E) for a stable growth firm = the dividend payout ratio divided by the difference between the required rate of return and the growth rate of dividends.

P/E on trailing earnings: [payout ratio x (1 + g)] / r – g

=[0.30 x 1.13]/ 0.14 – 0.13

= 33.9

P/E on next year's earnings: payout ratio/(r – g)

= 0.30 / 0.14 – 0.13 = 30.0

02

Explanation on factors affecting P/E ratio

  • Since the P/E ratio is a decreasing function of riskiness; Increases in the riskiness of Sundanci stock would lower the P/E ratio.
  • Since the P/E ratio is an increasing function of the growth rate Sundanci would command a higher P/E if analysts increase the expected growth rate.
  • Since the P/E ratio is a decreasing function of the market risk premium, a higher market risk premium would be expected to lower Sundanci's P/E ratio.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The following questions have appeared on CFA examinations.

a. Which one of the following statements best expresses the central idea of countercyclical fiscal policy?

(1) Planned government deficits are appropriate during economic booms, and planned surpluses are appropriate during economic recessions.

(2) The balanced-budget approach is the proper criterion for determining annual budget policy.

(3) Actual deficits should equal actual surpluses during a period of deflation.

(4) Government deficits are planned during economic recessions, and surpluses are utilized to restrain inflationary booms.

b. Which one of the following propositions would a strong proponent of supply-side economics be most likely to stress?

(1) Higher marginal tax rates will lead to a reduction in the size of the budget deficit and lower interest rates because they expand government revenues.

(2) Higher marginal tax rates promote economic inefficiency and thereby retard aggregate output because they encourage investors to undertake low-productivity projects with substantial tax-shelter benefits.

(3) Income redistribution payments will exert little impact on real aggregate supply because they do not consume resources directly.

(4) A tax reduction will increase the disposable income of households. Thus, the primary impact of a tax reduction on aggregate supply will stem from the influence of the tax change on the size of the budget deficit or surplus.

Use the following case in answering Problems 9– 11:

Hatfield Industries is a large manufacturing conglomerate based in the United States with annual sales in excess of $300 million.

Hatfield is currently under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for accounting irregularities and possible legal violations in the presentation of the company’s financial statements. A due-diligence team from the SEC has been sent to Hatfield’s corporate headquarters in Philadelphia for a complete audit in order to further assess the situation.

Several unique circumstances at Hatfield are discovered by the SEC due-diligence team during the course of the investigation:

  • Management has been involved in ongoing negotiations with the local labor union, of which approximately 40% of its full-time labor force are members. Labor officials are seeking increased wages and pension benefits, which Hatfield’s management states is not possible at this time due to decreased profitability and a tight cash flow situation. Labor officials have accused Hatfield’s management of manipulating the company’s financial statements to justify not granting any concessions during the course of negotiations.
  • All new equipment obtained over the past several years has been established on Hatfield’s books as operating leases, although past acquisitions of similar equipment were nearly always classified as capital leases. Financial statements of industry peers indicate that capital leases for this type of equipment are the norm. The SEC wants Hatfield’s management to provide justification for this apparent deviation from “normal” accounting practices.
  • Inventory on Hatfield’s books has been steadily increasing for the past few years in comparison to sales growth. Management credits improved operating efficiencies in its production methods that have contributed to boosts in overall production. The SEC is seeking evidence that Hatfield somehow may have manipulated its inventory accounts.

The SEC due-diligence team is not necessarily searching for evidence of fraud but of possible manipulation of accounting standards for the purpose of misleading shareholders and other interested parties. Initial review of Hatfield’s financial statements indicates that, at a minimum, certain practices have resulted in low-quality earnings.

Question: Hatfield has begun recording all new equipment leases on its books as operating leases, a change from its consistent past use of capital leases, in which the present value of lease payments is classified as a debt obligation. What is the most likely motivation behind Hatfield’s change in accounting methodology? Hatfield is attempting to:

a. Improve its leverage ratios and reduce its perceived leverage.

b. Reduce its cost of goods sold and increase it profitability.

c. Increase its operating margins relative to industry peers.

Why does it make intuitive sense that the slope of the yield curve is considered a leading economic indicator?

Use the following case in answering Problems 29 – 32:

Mary Smith, a Level II CFA candidate, was recently hired for an analyst position at the Bank of Ireland. Her first assignment is to examine the competitive strategies employed by various French wineries.

Smith’s report identifies four wineries that are the major players in the French wine industry. The key characteristics of each are cited in Table 12.6. In the body of Smith’s report, she includes a discussion of the competitive structure of the French wine industry. She notes that over the past five years, the French wine industry has not responded to changing consumer tastes. Profit margins have declined steadily, and the number of firms representing the industry has decreased from 10 to 4. It appears that participants in the French wine industry must consolidate in order to survive.

Smith’s report notes that French consumers have strong bargaining power over the industry.

She supports this conclusion with five key points, which she labels “Bargaining Power of Buyers”:

  • Many consumers are drinking more beer than wine with meals and on social occasions.
  • Increasing sales over the Internet have allowed consumers to better research the wines, read opinions from other customers, and identify which producers have the best prices.
  • The French wine industry is consolidating and consists of only 4 wineries today compared to 10 wineries five years ago.
  • More than 65% of the business for the French wine industry consists of purchases from restaurants. Restaurants typically make purchases in bulk, buying four to five cases of wine at a time.
  • The land where the soil is fertile enough to grow grapes necessary for the wine production process is scarce in France.

After completing the first draft of her report, Smith takes it to her boss, RonVanDriesen, to review. VanDriesen tells her that he is a wine connoisseur himself and often makes purchases from the South Winery. Smith tells VanDriesen, “In my report, I have classified the South Winery as a stuck-in-the-middle firm. It tries to be a cost leader by selling its wine at a price that is slightly below the other firms, but it also tries to differentiate itself from its competitors by producing wine in bottles with curved necks, which increases its cost structure. The end result is that the South Winery’s profit margin gets squeezed from both sides.” VanDriesen replies, “I have met members of the management team from the South Winery at a couple of the wine conventions I have attended. I believe that the South Winery could succeed at following

both cost leadership and a differentiation strategy if its operations were separated into distinct operating units, with each unit pursuing a different competitive strategy.” Smith makes a note to do more research on generic competitive strategies to verify VanDriesen’s assertions before publishing the final draft of her report.

Which of Smith’s points effectively supports the conclusion that consumers have strong bargaining power over the industry?

How do each of the following affect the sensitivity of profits to the business cycle?

a. Financial leverage

b. Operating leverage

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