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In a breeding experiment, white chickens with small combs were mated and produced 190 offspring of the types shown in the accompanying table. Are these data consistent with the Mendelian expected ratios of 9: 3: 3: 1 for the four types? Use a chi-square test at \(\alpha=0.10\) $$ \begin{array}{|lc|} \hline \text { Type } & \begin{array}{c} \text { Number of } \\ \text { offspring } \end{array} \\ \hline \text { White feathers, small comb } & 111 \\ \text { White feathers, large comb } & 37 \\ \text { Dark feathers, small comb } & 34 \\ \text { Dark feathers, large comb } & 8 \\ \text { Total } & 190 \\ \hline \end{array} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
To determine the consistency with Mendelian ratios, calculate the expected frequencies, the chi-square statistic, and compare it with the critical chi-square value at \(\alpha = 0.10\) with 3 degrees of freedom.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

The null hypothesis (H0) is that the observed frequencies of offspring are consistent with the Mendelian expected ratios of 9:3:3:1. The alternative hypothesis (H1) is that the observed frequencies are not consistent with the expected ratios.
02

Calculate Expected Frequencies

Based on a total of 190 offspring, calculate the expected number for each category by dividing the total by 16 (the sum of the ratios 9+3+3+1) and then multiplying by each respective ratio component. Expected for white feathers, small comb = \(\frac{9}{16} \times 190\), expected for white feathers, large comb = \(\frac{3}{16} \times 190\), expected for dark feathers, small comb = \(\frac{3}{16} \times 190\), and expected for dark feathers, large comb = \(\frac{1}{16} \times 190\).
03

Calculate the Chi-Square Statistic

Apply the chi-square formula: \[\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(O-E)^2}{E}\], where O is the observed frequency and E is the expected frequency. Calculate the \(\chi^2\) value for each category and sum them up to find the total \(\chi^2\) statistic.
04

Determine Degrees of Freedom

Degrees of freedom (df) are calculated as the number of categories minus 1. In this case, df = 4 - 1 = 3.
05

Find the Critical Chi-Square Value

Using a chi-square distribution table and an alpha level of 0.10 with 3 degrees of freedom, find the critical \(\chi^2\) value to compare with the calculated chi-square statistic.
06

Compare the Chi-Square Statistic with the Critical Value

If the calculated \(\chi^2\) statistic is greater than the critical value, reject the null hypothesis. If it's smaller, do not reject the null hypothesis.
07

Draw a Conclusion

Based on the comparison between the calculated chi-square statistic and the critical value, decide whether the observed offspring frequencies are consistent with the expected Mendelian ratios.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mendelian Genetics
Mendelian genetics is the foundation of understanding heredity and how traits are passed down from generation to generation. It was Gregor Mendel, an Austrian monk, who laid the groundwork for genetics with his experiments on pea plants in the mid-1800s. His observations led to the formulation of what we know as the Mendelian laws of inheritance.

These laws include the law of segregation, which states that an organism's traits are determined by pairs of alleles which separate during reproduction. There's also the law of independent assortment, meaning that traits are passed on independently of one another. This understanding is crucial when predicting the outcome of genetic crosses, which is where the chi-square test comes in. In the provided exercise, students are expected to use their knowledge of Mendelian ratios, which predict the frequency of different traits occurring in offspring, such as the 9:3:3:1 ratio for a dihybrid cross.

When conducting breeding experiments, as seen in our example with the white chickens, we calculate the expected ratios of different phenotypes based on these laws. Challenges may arise, for instance, when traits do not segregate in a simple Mendelian fashion due to interactions like linkage or epistasis, but learning to anticipate the standard Mendelian patterns is a key starting point for any genetic analysis.
Observed vs Expected Frequencies
In any experiment or study, there's a critical comparison to make between what we observe (the actual data) and what we expect to see based on a particular hypothesis or model. Observed frequencies are counts or proportions that result from the experiment, like the number of offspring with each phenotype in our chicken breeding problem. Expected frequencies, on the other hand, are theoretically calculated based on certain assumptions, such as the expected genetic ratios derived from Mendelian genetics.

To calculate expected frequencies, a theoretical model or ratio is used. In Mendelian genetics, this might be the 9:3:3:1 ratio for a dihybrid cross. For more complex traits, or when dealing with non-Mendelian genetics, these expectations would be adjusted accordingly. A good strategy to improve understanding here is to clearly visualize the expected ratios through Punnett squares or branching diagrams before calculating expected frequencies.

In the textbook exercise, students must calculate expected frequencies using the total number of offspring and the Mendelian ratios to test whether the observed data is consistent with Mendelian expectations. If the observed frequencies stray too far from what is expected, it may suggest that other genetic factors are at play or that there are errors in the assumptions or methods.
Degrees of Freedom in Statistics
Degrees of freedom (df) in statistics often come across as an abstract concept, but they play a crucial role in hypothesis testing, including the chi-square test. The degrees of freedom are essentially the number of independent values or quantities that can vary in an analysis without breaking any limitations. It is closely related to the number of categories you have in your test minus the number of parameters you need to estimate from the data.

In most basic terms, think of degrees of freedom as the number of 'choices' left after we've made certain necessary restrictions. For example, if we had four categories in our chicken breeding experiment, after we find the expected frequency for three of them, the fourth is already determined because we know the total number of offspring. Therefore, we only really have three degrees of freedom in our test (df = 4 - 1 = 3).

Understanding the concept of degrees of freedom is vital when determining the critical value from a chi-square distribution table, as done in the exercise. The correct df must be used to find the appropriate critical value, which will tell us whether our observed frequencies significantly deviate from the expected frequencies. A common error is miscounting the df, which would lead to looking up the wrong critical value.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a method used by statisticians to decide whether to accept or reject a hypothesis based on data. It's a cornerstone of scientific research and understanding this method is key to critically evaluating data. The process involves setting up two contrasting statements: the null hypothesis, which is a statement of no effect or no difference, and the alternative hypothesis, which suggests that there is an effect or a difference.

In the context of the exercise, the null hypothesis states that the observed chicken offspring frequencies are consistent with Mendelian expected ratios. The alternative hypothesis posits the opposite – that the frequencies are not consistent. To test these hypotheses, students use the chi-square statistic, which provides a way to measure the discrepancy between observed and expected frequencies.

The calculation of the chi-square statistic allows us to assess how likely it is to observe our data if the null hypothesis is true. Critical values for chi-square statistics are then used to make a decision: if the statistic is greater than the critical value at a chosen significance level (like \(\alpha=0.10\)), the null hypothesis is rejected, implying that our data provides sufficient evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Simplifying statistical concepts for students, like using likelihood instead of probability, and providing real-world examples can enhance comprehension of hypothesis testing.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Geneticists studying the inheritance pattern of cowpea plants classified the plants in one experiment according to the nature of their leaves. The data follow : $$ \begin{array}{|lccc|} \hline \text { Type } & \text { I } & \text { II } & \text { III } \\ \hline \text { Number } & 179 & 44 & 23 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Test the null hypothesis that the three types occur with probabilities \(12 / 16,3 / 16,\) and \(1 / 16 .\) Use a chi-square test with \(\alpha=0.10\).

The appearance of leaf pigment glands in the seedling stage of cotton plants is genetically controlled. According to one theory of the control mechanism, the population ratio of glandular to glandless plants resulting from a certain cross should be \(11: 5 ;\) according to another theory it should be \(13: 3 .\) In one experiment, the cross produced 89 glandular and 36 glandless plants. \({ }^{45}\) Use goodness-of-fit tests (at \(\alpha=0.10\) ) to determine whether these data are consistent with (a) the 11: 5 theory (b) the 13: 3 theory

A group of 1,438 sexually active patients were counseled on condom use and the risk of contracting a sexually transmitted disease (STD). After 6 months, 103 of the patients had new STDs. \({ }^{51}\) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the probability of contracting an STD within 6 months after being part of a counseling program like the one used in this study.

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